Can 13 Million Tons of Gold Solve Zimbabwe’s Economic Crisis?

In a country blessed with an incredible 13 million tons of proven gold reserves, one would assume that Zimbabwe’s economic struggles would be a thing of the past.

However, the reality is far from that optimistic vision. Despite the vast potential of its gold reserves, Zimbabwe continues to grapple with an ongoing economic crisis that seems impervious to the glittering value of this precious metal.

Even with the world’s 2nd highest gold resources, Zimbabwe’s GDP continues to decline since 2018. Source: World Bank

According to the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ), fully exploiting the 13 million tons of gold reserves could potentially earn the country over $4 billion annually from gold exports alone.

Yet, despite this enormous wealth lying beneath our feet, Zimbabwe’s economy remains in dire straits.

Throughout the years, efforts have been made to enhance gold production. In 2016, the country’s gold output reached a peak of 27.1 tons, only to plummet to a mere 3.5 tons during the economic crisis of 2008.

However, recent initiatives by the central bank have seen a gradual increase in production, with gold output growing by 72 percent in the first seven months of this year alone.

Today, Zimbabwe is targeting a total mining output of 40 tons of gold in 2023.

The Zimbabwe Mining Development Corporation (ZMDC), which owns several mines with significant potential, should be a catalyst for economic growth. However, these mines have yet to be fully utilized. Artisanal and small-scale miners, who contribute a significant portion of the country’s gold production, face challenges such as lack of regularization and operational security.

While the increase in gold production is indeed promising, it is important to recognize that the solution to Zimbabwe’s economic woes cannot solely rely on the extraction of this precious metal. The challenges facing its economy run deep and require comprehensive solutions that address issues beyond the mining sector.

Investors, both domestic and international, have expressed concerns about policy stability and the ability to repatriate profits. This has hindered the inflow of much-needed capital, despite the potential profitability of gold mining projects.

Zimbabwe must create an environment that fosters investor confidence, ensuring that the fruits of their investment can be repatriated.

Furthermore, the economic crisis in Zimbabwe is not solely due to internal factors.

Global mining infrastructure bottlenecks and subdued commodity prices, particularly for platinum group metals (PGMs) and base metals, further exacerbate our economic challenges.

Current Mining Projects in Zimbabwe Hold Promise

Caledonia Mining Corp is exploring funding options, aiming to raise $250 million for the development of its Bilboes project, potentially becoming Zimbabwe’s largest gold mine. The company, owning the Blanket gold mine in Zimbabwe, may utilize a mix of debt, internal funds, and equity for financing.

The Bilboes project, projected to yield around 170,000 ounces of gold annually, would significantly increase Caledonia’s total bullion output to approximately 250,000 ounces.

Despite Zimbabwe’s economic challenges, including power cuts and hyperinflation, mining investors, including Caledonia, are seeking opportunities in the country.

While Zimbabwe has faced difficulties attracting major investors since the early 2000s, Caledonia is optimistic about investor support for quality projects with good returns. The company is also addressing concerns about repatriating profits and the country’s policy stability.

What is the Estimated Value of 13 Million Tons of Gold?

With gold currently priced around $2,000 per ounce (and climbing), the potential value of Zimbabwe’s gold reserves is substantial.

There are approximately 32,150.7 ounces in a metric ton. Multiplying this by the 13 million tons gives us a total of approximately 418,960,100 ounces of gold in Zimbabwe’s reserves.

Using $2,000 per ounce results in an estimated potential value of Zimbabwe’s gold reserves at around $837,920,200,000 or approximately $838 billion.

This calculation assumes that all the gold can be extracted and sold at the current market price.

Zimbabwe’s economic future lies not only in the glitter of 13 million tons of gold but also in a vibrant and diversified economy that attracts investment, fosters stability, and prioritizes the well-being of its people.


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