Currency System Failure: The Japanese Yen Will be the First to Collapse

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Japan’s Record Spending Unable to Stop Yen’s Destruction

In This Article:
  • Japan’s Record Yen Intervention
  • Persistent Weakness of the Yen
  • Potential Global Currency Crisis
  • Expert Predictions on Future Interventions

The global fiat currency system faces unprecedented challenges, and signs of an accelerating collapse are becoming increasingly evident.

Central banks worldwide are grappling with inflation, volatile markets, and economic instability. Among these currencies, the Japanese yen stands on the brink of a historic downfall.

As the first major fiat currency to face a potential collapse, the yen’s struggles could mark the beginning of a broader crisis, signaling the final phase of the global fiat currency debt system’s demise.

Japan’s Record Yen Intervention

Japan’s finance ministry disclosed spending ¥9.8 trillion ($62.2 billion) from April 26 to May 29 to support the yen.

The intervention, focused on April 29 and May 1, exceeded estimates of ¥9.4 trillion. Despite this massive expenditure, the yen’s value remains critically low. The yen’s rapid decline forced Japan to take drastic measures, highlighting the severe instability of the currency.

THIS CHART SHOWS HOW JAPAN’S MASSIVE YEN INTERVENTION IN EARLY MAY (GREEN ARROW) HAS COMPLETELY FAILED OVER THE PAST 30 DAYS (RED ARROW).
Persistent Weakness of the Yen

Despite significant intervention efforts, the yen remains weak. During the interventions, the yen briefly dropped to 153 against the dollar but soon returned to around 157.

This continued decline indicates the diminishing power of such interventions. Factors like the strong U.S. economy and delayed Federal Reserve rate cuts contribute to the yen’s persistent weakness.

The currency’s instability poses a serious risk to Japan’s economic health.

Potential Global Currency Crisis

The yen’s decline could signal broader issues in the global fiat currency system. Japan’s intervention highlights the challenges of defending a weakening currency amid global economic pressures.

As the yen struggles, speculators may push it further down, testing the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) limits. This situation could trigger a significant currency crisis, affecting global markets and economic stability.

Expert Predictions on Future Interventions

Experts are divided on the effectiveness of Japan’s interventions. Hideo Kumano, a former central bank official, believes that while interventions have not reversed the yen’s decline, they have slowed it. Daisaku Ueno, chief FX strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities, expects continued spending to prop up the yen, emphasizing Japan’s resolve to mitigate imported inflation.

Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki has issued warnings of further interventions to counter excessive volatility. With the yen trading around 157.235 per dollar, the effectiveness of additional interventions remains uncertain.

Analysts, including Mizuho Securities’ Masafumi Yamamoto, suggest that Japan might intervene again if the yen experiences sharp declines. The potential for further interventions raises concerns about the yen’s long-term stability.

The Bottom Line

Japan’s unprecedented $62 billion intervention to support the yen has failed, highlighting the currency’s vulnerability.

As global economic pressures mount, the yen’s decline could signify a broader crisis in the fiat currency system.

Japan may continue its intervention efforts, but the long-term outlook for the yen remains bleak, marking the onset of a significant currency crisis. The global economy must prepare for the repercussions of this instability.

Supporting Article: https://www.markets.com/news/japanese-yen-weakness-persists-despite-dollar62bn-intervention/